Gestern erhielt ich folgendes e-mail von Christopher Monckton of Brenchley:

Dear Benny

You may like to let readers of your excellent newsletter know that Physics and Society, in its July 2008 quarterly edition, has published a paper by me entitled Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered, which exposes the IPCC’s strange method of calculating the effect of CO2 on temperature and suggests that in response to a CO2 doubling global temperature may rise by as little as 0.6 C. A draft press release, with a link to the paper, is attached.

Christopher

The Viscount Monckton of Brenchley
Carie, Rannoch, PH17 2QJ, UK
monckton@mail.com

————-
Climate Sensitivity Reconsidered

Physics & Society: July 2008, Volume 37, Number 3
http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/200807/monckton.cfm

By Christopher Monckton of Brenchley

Abstract

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007) concluded that anthropogenic CO2 emissions probably caused more than half of the “global warming” of the past 50 years and would cause further rapid warming. However, global mean surface temperature has not risen since 1998 and may have fallen since late 2001. The present analysis suggests that the failure of the IPCC’s models to predict this and many other climatic phenomena arises from defects in its evaluation of the three factors whose product is climate sensitivity:

1. Radiative forcing ?F;
2. The no-feedbacks climate sensitivity parameter ?; and
3. The feedback multiplier ƒ.

Some reasons why the IPCC’s estimates may be excessive and unsafe are explained. More importantly, the conclusion is that, perhaps, there is no “climate crisis”, and that currently-fashionable efforts by governments to reduce anthropogenic CO2 emissions are pointless, may be ill-conceived, and could even be harmful.

Full paper at: http://www.aps.org/units/fps/newsletters/200807/monckton.cfm