Diskutiert man in Deutschland über die wahren und eigentlichen Ursachen des Terrors, setzt man eine ernste Mine auf, warnt vor einer undifferenzierten Sichtweise, schwafelt irgendwas von “überaus komplexen Zusammenhängen”, von “Interdependenzen” und natürlich den “Schattenseiten der Globalisierung”, um dann zielsicher bei Israel und Amerika zu landen. Seltsamerweise wird ausgerechnet die einfachste und naheliegendste aller Erklärungen kaum je auch nur erwähnt. Könnte es nicht sein, dass der Terrorismus eine “Folge” des politischen Islam ist, sowie der Kommunismus eine “Folge” der kommunistischen Ideologie war?
Könnte nicht nur sein, sondern - Oh Wunder! Oh Schreck! - ist sogar so:
“A new study by the US Institute for Peace (USIP) of polling data from fourteen different Muslim countries finds that support for a role for Islam in politics strongly correlates with more likely support for terrorism. ... support for an increased role for Islam in politics is correlated with greater support for the use of terrorism, even in countries that already adhere to political Islam.”
Armut und Bildung scheinen keine Rolle zu spielen, wohl aber Alter und Geschlecht der Befragten - was auch die Demografie-These stützt:
“- Respondents in these Muslim countries that believed they had some degree of freedom of speech were found to be more likely to support terrorism. (p. 28) As a possible interpretation for this effect, one explanation offered by the study’s author is that “when people perceive themselves to have freedom of expression, they are more inclined to admit their support for terror.” (p. 29)
- In line with the findings of other surveys, support for terrorism is constant across education groups (p. 35) It’s not just that education plays little role in justifying terror, but that the relationship is non-existent: “Not only is the relationship statistically insignificant, but by and large the point estimates are zero.” (p. 36)
- Perception of the state of the country’s economy was basically uncorrelated with support for terrorism. (p. 30) This finding undercuts the argument that Islamic terrorism is driven by poverty in the Muslim world.
- Women are more likely to be weak or strong supporters of terrorism than men. (p. 37)
- Age is negatively correlated to support for terrorism, meaning that the older one gets, the less likely he will justify the use of terrorism. (p. 38-39) The study’s author suggests this might be due to a real age effect (views moderate for all ages as they get older), or a generational effect (people born in the 1940s vs. the 1980s).”